How to survive the AI revolution
AI has long influenced the labor market. Some professions risk disappearing, while others become winners. CVkungen has compared data from the Places Bank with the World Economic Forum's report "Future of Jobs 2023".
The best way to survive automation is welfare and classic Swedish mixed economy. Expand the public sector when other jobs disappear, reduce working hours, introduce more vacation weeks and a lower retirement age, and have good labor market training for attractive occupations.
Many risks
But the trade book "The automaticity of capital” by Mikael Nyberg shows that manual work is much more difficult for AI to replace than administrative work. Though can it may happen that works of high intellectual and artistic height still require people to do them. In many professions, humans can outperform AI if humans collaborate with AI. But the big danger with robotization and automation, in addition to the fact that they will replace administrative and low-intellectual jobs to a much greater degree than tedious practical ones, is that the purpose of robotization is to replace human soldiers with robots. This is already happening in the war in Ukraine from both sides. If a dictator were to kill his population, he has thus far required the obedience of human soldiers. Not so with robot soldiers. They obey blindly. And a big risk with AI is that it develops a divine or diabolical intelligence. In technical terms, this means that it develops a singularity. Then we can hope that that singularity is not hostile to humans.
AI can make our decisions
The former Democrat politician Robert Reich sees a risk that AI will make many of our decisions in everyday life and at work for us. So even if we humans remain, AI will make more and more of our decisions about our lives. Nyberg sees this risk in Capital's automaticity. In the team work, the robots have not replaced the human bodies, but on the contrary, the robots have become foremen in the ears of the warehouse workers so that these people become slaves to the robots.
But there are also those who, for better or for worse, want to controlling people's intellect with implanted brain chips.
Seven professions that may disappear
According to the WEF report, seven professions are likely to disappear due to AI. These jobs are mostly manual and repetitive, and many of them are already on the way to disappearing in Sweden.
- Warehouse workers and warehouse administrators - High risk of AI replacing these.
- Administrative secretaries - High risk of AI replacing these.
- Financial and payroll administrators - High risk of AI replacing these.
- Cashiers - High risk.
- Data collector - High risk.
- Postal officials - High risk.
- Bank officials - High risk .
Ten professions with a better future
- Specialists in automation - Low risk of AI replacing these.
- Business developer - Low risk.
- Technical specialists - Low risk.
- Specialists in digital transformation - Very low risk.
- Sellers and marketers - Low risk.
- Sellers in the wholesale trade and manufacturing industry – Moderate risk.
- Primary and preschool teacher – Moderate risk.
- Industrial and production engineers - Low risk.
- Project Manager - Low risk.
- Property manager – Moderate risk.
Demand is high for technical and digital transformation specialists, as well as engineers, especially industrial engineers.
The development creates new opportunities
Many may lose their jobs as AI and automation take over, but new opportunities are also opening up. The WEF predicts that AI-powered roles will increase by around 35 percent over the next five years.
Methodology
The CV king used "The Future of Jobs Report 2023” from the World Economic Forum to identify occupations at high risk of being replaced by AI. CVkungen reviewed 68 job advertisements from the Employment Agency, published on April 618, 9, covering 2024 different professional roles.
The WEF report is based on survey responses from 803 companies with over 11,3 million employees in 27 industries and 45 economies. This global insight, combined with up-to-date job posting data, provides a thorough analysis of which jobs are likely to be affected by technological advances.
During the 1800s and 1900s, there was massive automation, but no unemployment was created by this. Because automation also meant efficiency, i.e. wealth increased. Which created demand for more products and more services.
The new thing now is that all automation does not create any increased efficiency, see https://gemensam.wordpress.com/2021/02/21/ojamlikhet-och-hierarkier-sanker-produktiviteten/ and https://gemensam.wordpress.com/2018/08/28/siffrorna-pekar-uppat-men-samhallet-blir-alltmer-improduktivt/. In other words, demand does not increase.
Precisely when it comes to AI, I believe that the efficiency gain is moderate, and that it can therefore result in unemployment. As can be seen from the links above, computerization has rarely made production more efficient, it has instead been used to increase central control, which rarely makes the whole thing more efficient, just more cumbersome. See also https://gemensam.wordpress.com/2020/01/12/darfor-resulterar-pinnrakning-i-fiasko/ which is about the superior levels rarely knowing what the criteria for increased efficiency really are, because they rarely have any expertise, they are just economists.
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