The talk that taxes must be radically increased in the future or that self-financing is necessary to cope with future welfare is based on lies based on lies in various state and municipal investigations. They claim that the welfare state is actually impossible to finance, which is not true.
In the Swedish Association of Municipalities' report from 2002 with the title Municipal futures - a long-term investigation into needs and resources until 2050 are the authors dealing with creative/made-up mathematics to be able to say that if the municipalities are to manage to finance the needs of elderly care and medical care only via the tax bill, then the tax in 2050 must have been increased by 50%.
You understand that nobody wants this, and then bourgeois welfare models that involve privatization, care for relatives and voluntary contributions appear as more reasonable alternatives.
But even the authors themselves admit that this assessment of the future tax rate is based on a made-up, very creative calculation example that has nothing to do with reality.
But as the Nazis knew, a repeated lie can become a truth.
In 2003, the Long-Term Investigation came. This year, its authors chose to devote their space to the question of financing welfare in the future.
Reference is made there i.a. to the Municipal Futures report from 2002 and uses its invented, creative calculation examples as unbiased, empirical facts to be able to say that today's tax rate will not be enough in the future. There are proposals for increased "self-financing" of welfare.
With reference to i.a. these two investigations, the Borg commission writes the report We can afford the future. The Commission summarizes the issue in a debate article in DN on 7 June 2010:
"All elaborate investigations and research reports that have dealt with the issue of welfare funding in the future predict a considerable funding gap in one or two decades."
An alternative and more accurate assessment of the future tax development found in the SKL report from 2002, where the cost increase follows the population development, lands on a need to raise the tax by 1,2% until 2035.
Source: "Welfare myths Of course we can afford to finance security" (Phil. Dr. Daniel Ankarloo)